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Leaving aside for the moment the question of what constitutes a combat-credible force, it is fair to ask what evidence there is that naval forward presence helps to shape the international environment.
For instance, the UNITAS exercise series, the principal naval forward presence activity in South America (annual exercises and port visits over a four-month period), involves fewer than half as many U.
Also, the joint combatant commanders clearly want more rather than less naval forward presence.